Entering the first week of 2021, Bitcoin continues to set new all-time highs, breaking through $30,000 and continuing to climb. But ETH is the real winner this week, with a single-day increase of more than 37%. Bull Market <br />As the price of Bitcoin continues to rise, a large number of retail investors' interest in Bitcoin is also increasing, and the number of addresses holding non-zero amounts of Bitcoin has reached an all-time high of more than 33 million. However, despite the rapid growth in news coverage and retail interest in Bitcoin, the number of new daily Bitcoin addresses has yet to reach 2017 levels. The steady and consistent growth of this metric (as opposed to the sudden spikes seen during the last major bull run) suggests that Bitcoin adoption is experiencing strong organic growth, but not typical frothy viral growth. Thus, these indicators paint an optimistic picture of a market characterized by healthy, sustainable growth rather than hype. What causes reserves to increase in the late stages of a bull market? Retail investors tend to store their cryptocurrencies on exchanges, which will cause net reserves to rise. This is the main stage of a bull market. Since we already know that institutions are buying heavily, the flattening of spot reserve depletion indicates that retail investors are buying heavily, attracted by the recent price increase. The last time ETH reached this price was 3 years ago in January 2018, when it spent less than a month above $1,000 before falling back to triple digits. However, on-chain signals suggest that we are still in the early stages of a bull run relative to 2018 price levels. When MVRV was at such low levels before the 2017 bull run, ETH was still below $25 and experienced a massive 58,000% rally until reaching its all-time high. This suggests that in the current market, ETH has room for further substantial growth before becoming overvalued. This is a very bullish sign, as scarcity leads to an increase in demand relative to supply, pushing up prices. This chart also shows that the new influx of retail investors is more likely to hold rather than realize gains, indicating that both retail and institutional investors have more room for growth. (Crypto Valley Live) |
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